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    USDA: Weekly Cotton Review

    (Joelle Orem, AgFax)

    Spot quotations averaged 154 points lower than the previous week, according to the USDA,
    Agricultural Marketing Serviceís Cotton and Tobacco Program. Quotations for the base
    quality of cotton (color 41, leaf 4, staple 34, mike 35-36 and 43-49, strength
    27.0-28.9, and uniformity 81.0-81.9) in the seven designated markets averaged 80.87
    cents per pound for the week ending Thursday, March 9, 2023. The weekly average was
    down from 82.41 cents last week and 114.99 cents reported the corresponding period
    a year ago. Daily average quotations ranged from a high of 82.25 cents Monday, March 6
    to a low of 79.79 cents Thursday, March 9. Spot transactions reported in the Daily Spot
    Cotton Quotations for the week ended March 9 totaled 9,030 bales. This compares to 31,860
    bales reported last week and 12,654 spot transactions reported the corresponding week a
    year ago. Total spot transactions for the season were 477,042 bales compared to 1,472,006
    bales the corresponding week a year ago. The ICE May settlement price ended the week at
    82.18 cents, compared to 83.71 cents last week.

    Southeastern Markets Regional Summary

    Spot cotton trading was inactive. Supplies and producer offerings were moderate. Demand
    was moderate. Average local spot prices were lower. Trading of CCC-loan equities was
    inactive. Mixed clouds and sunshine prevailed across the lower Southeast during the
    period with localized thunderstorms observed in some areas. Daytime high temperatures
    in the 70s and 80s cooled late in the week and light scattered rains returned to the
    region. Weekly accumulated precipitation totals measured 1 to 3 inches in north
    Alabama and north Georgia and Gulf coastal areas. The moisture was welcomed in
    southwest Georgia and the Florida Panhandle where moderate drought conditions expanded,
    according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. Fieldwork advanced with little interruption in
    areas where soils were firm enough to support equipment. A few gins remained on gin days
    in Alabama and Georgia. Mostly sunny conditions prevailed during the week with occasional
    cloud cover observed. Daytime high temperatures in the upper 60s to low 70s moderated
    late week as a cool front moved across the region. Scattered shower activity was observed
    during the week with the heaviest accumulations observed in cotton growing areas of
    northeast North Carolina and southeast Virginia. Weekly accumulated rainfall totals
    measured around one inch of moisture. Abnormal dryness was introduced into areas of
    the eastern Carolinas that missed precipitation in recent weeks, according to the U.S.
    Drought Monitor. Fieldwork advanced with little interruption. Ginning neared completion;
    a few gins remained on gin days.

    Textile Mill

    Domestic mill buyers inquired for a moderate volume of color 41, leaf 4, and staple 34
    and longer for second quarter through fourth quarter delivery. No sales were reported.
    Improved yarn demand for late third quarter and fourth quarter was reported; but
    overall demand remained lackluster and plants remained idle at some locations. Mill
    buyers maintained a cautious undertone. Mills continued to produce personal protective
    equipment for frontline workers and consumers.

    Demand through export channels was moderate. Agents throughout the Far East
    inquired for any discounted styles of cotton.

    Trading

    No trading activity was reported.

    South Central Markets Regional Summary

    North Delta

    Spot cotton trading was inactive. Supplies of available cotton were light.
    Demand was very light. Average local spot prices were lower. Trading of
    CCC-loan equities was inactive. No forward contracting was reported.
    Cotton was being delivered to fulfill contracts; no new sales were
    reported.

    Weather conditions fluctuated from partly cloudy to light
    showers. Daytime high temperatures ranged from the mid-70s
    to the low 40s. Overnight lows were in the low 40s to the
    low 60s. Light, scattered rain showers throughout the
    week brought up to two and a half inches of precipitation
    to the Memphis territory. Flood advisories were issued
    by the National Weather Service for portions of the
    Memphis territory, but no damage was reported. Several
    gins continued annual pressing operations in the Memphis
    territory. According to the U.S. Drought Monitor,
    regional soil moisture was rated normal; many areas
    reported standing water in low-lying fields. Virtual and
    in-person regional industry meetings were attended by all
    interested parties. Producers carefully monitored the
    prices of competing commodities. According to local
    distributors, the cost of inputs, particularly nitrogen
    fertilizers, has dropped compared to last year, and
    adequate supplies are on-hand to meet demand.

    South Delta

    Spot cotton trading was inactive. Supplies of available cotton were light.
    Demand was very light. Average local spot prices were lower. Trading of
    CCC-loan equities was inactive. No forward contracting was reported.
    Cotton was being delivered to fulfill contracts; no new sales were
    reported. Producers were not encouraged by current price levels.

    Daytime high temperatures in the low 70s early in the week soared to
    near record highs in the mid-80s by the end of the reporting period.
    Corresponding overnight lows started the week in the 60s, then
    climbed into the low 70s, also well above seasonal averages. Light
    and scattered rain showers brought less than 1 inch of precipitation
    to the region. According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, soil moisture
    was rated normal throughout the territory. Recent rainfall has
    resulted in saturated soils and standing water in most low-lying
    fields. Producers continued to monitor commodity prices and the
    cost of inputs, particularly nitrogen fertilizers. Local experts
    indicated that because of the economic outlook for cotton going
    into the planting season, acreage could contract by several
    percentage points more than estimated at the beginning of the
    year, compared to last year.

    Trading

    North Delta

    No trading activity was reported.

    South Delta

    No trading activity was reported.

    Southwestern Markets Regional Summary

    East Texas

    Spot cotton trading was active. Supplies and producer offerings were
    moderate. Demand was light. Average local spot prices were lower.
    Producer interest in forward contracting was light. Producers
    considered marketing options for the 2023-crop. Trading of CCC-loan
    equities was inactive. Foreign mill inquiries were moderate.
    Interest was best from Korea, Mexico, and Vietnam.

    Soils warmed in the Rio Grande Valley (RGV), Coastal Bend, and in
    south Texas with daytime temperature highs in the upper 70s to
    low 90s and overnight temperatures in the 50s to 70s. No rainfall
    was reported and some producers hoped for more rainfall before
    planting. Cotton planting made good progress in the RGV, Coastal
    Bend, and in south Texas. In the RGV, irrigated acres were
    planted, and field activity moved toward planting dryland acres.
    Stands had begun to emerge. Producers were making marketing
    decisions since marketing pools and forward contracts were
    offered. Weather will play a big role in marketing decisions
    if south Texas were to receive significant rainfall. Fieldwork
    was slow in the Blackland Prairies (BP). Fields were soggy.
    According to the National Agricultural Statistics
    Serviceís Texas Crop Progress and Conditions report released on
    March 6, subsoil moisture in the BP was 9 percent very short, 16
    short, 45 adequate, and 30 percent surplus.

    In Kansas, weather was variable with daytime temperature highs in the
    low 40s to upper 70s, and overnight lows in the mid-20s to low 40s.
    Some areas expected less acres planted due to undesirable market
    prices, input, and harvesting costs. Droughty conditions weighed
    heavily on marketing plans. In Oklahoma, producers planned for the
    upcoming cropping season booking seed and other inputs. Cotton planting
    counties remained in some level of drought with 60 percent of the state
    in one of the drought intensity levels, according to the U.S. Drought
    Monitor.

    West Texas
    Spot cotton trading was active. Supplies and producer offerings were moderate. Demand was light.
    Average local spot prices were lower. Producer interest in forward contracting was light.
    Trading of CCC-loan equities was inactive. Foreign mill inquiries were moderate. Interest was
    best from Korea, Mexico, and Vietnam.

    All of the West Texas cotton growing areas remain in drought, according to the U.S.
    Drought Monitor. The entire area needs a period of slow-soaking rainfall to
    recharge soil moisture. Lots of field erosion and irrigation pivots were
    overturned from the recent wind events. Daytime temperature highs were in the
    low 50 to upper 80s, and overnight temperature lows were in the 20s to 50s.
    Fields were cultivated, and producers prepared to apply pre-plant herbicide.

    Trading

    East Texas

    In Texas, mixed lots containing a light volume of color 42 and better,
    leaf 4 and better, staple 34-36, mike 41-49, strength 26-33, and
    uniformity 79-82 sold for 80.50 to 81.25 cents per pound, FOB
    warehouse (compression charges not paid).

    In Kansas, mixed lots containing a light volume of color 31, 41, 32,
    and 42, leaf 3 and 4, staple 35 and 36, mike 41-44, strength 30-31,
    uniformity 79-81, and 75 percent extraneous matter sold for 73.75 to
    76.00 cents, FOB car/truck (compression charges not paid).

    In Oklahoma, lots containing a light volume of mostly color 31 and
    41, leaf 2 and 3, staple 36 to 38, mike 38-42, strength 28-32, and
    uniformity 79-82 sold for 82.75 to 83.00 cents, same terms as
    above.

    West Texas

    A lot containing a heavy volume of color 41 and better, leaf 4 and
    better, staple 35, mike averaging 43.0, strength averaging 31.3,
    and uniformity averaging 81.1 sold for around 84.50 cents per
    pound, FOB car/truck (compression charges not paid).

    A moderate volume of lots containing color 42 and better, leaf
    2 and 3, staple 38 and 39, mike 27-38, strength 27-33, and
    uniformity 77-83 sold for 80.00 to 82.00 cents, same terms as
    above.

    Mixed lots containing a moderate volume of mostly color 31-41,
    leaf 3-6, staple 36 and 37, mike 37-55, strength 29-33, and
    uniformity 79-83 sold for 76.50 to 77.50 cents, same terms as above.

    Western Markets Regional Summary

    Desert Southwest (DSW)
    Spot cotton trading was inactive. Supplies and producer offerings were moderate.
    Demand was light. No forward contracting or domestic mill activity was reported.
    Average local prices were lower. Foreign mill inquiries were light.
    Planting continued in Yuma, AZ under good weather conditions with daytime
    temperature highs in the mid-60s to low 80s. Overnight temperature lows were
    in the 40s to 50s. Planting was expected to begin in April for central and eastern
    AZ. Fieldwork was underway at some locations in central AZ. Reoccurring rainfall
    caused multiple extensions for cutting stalks. Field preparation was interrupted.
    Producers considered other crops to plant because of current market prices in El
    Paso, TX, and New Mexico. The cost of fertilizer, diesel, and other inputs challenge
    profit margins with current futures prices. Fields were prepped, and rows were built,
    but planting seed sales were slow.

    San Joaquin Valley (SJV)
    Spot cotton trading was inactive. Supplies and demand were light. No forward contracting
    or domestic mill activity was reported. Average local spot prices were lower. Foreign mill
    inquiries were light. Recent rains kept fields very wet and soil temperatures cold. Some
    fields will have to be re-worked before planting can begin. Producers reported planting was
    likely to begin sometime in April.

    American Pima (AP)
    Spot cotton trading was slow. Supplies were heavy. Demand was light. No forward contracting
    or domestic activity was reported. Average local spot prices were lower. Producersí price ideas
    were firm. Overall, producers remained patient and willing to wait for demand and better pricing.
    Foreign mill inquiries were light. Lack of demand put pressure on U.S. prices. Recent rains kept
    San Joaquin Valley fields very wet and soil temperatures are cold. Some fields will have to be
    re-worked before planting can begin. Producers reported planting was likely to begin sometime in
    April. Ginning continued in eastern Arizona. Fields were prepped ahead of planting season.
    Current market prices encouraged producers in El Paso, Texas and New Mexico to consider alternative
    crops such as hay. Planted acres are expected to be reduced compared to the previous season.

    Trading

    Desert Southwest
    A light volume of color 31 and better, leaf 3, staple 39, mike averaging 40.0, strength averaging 31.0,
    and uniformity averaging 82.6 sold for around 86.00 cents per pound, uncompressed, FOB warehouse.

    San Joaquin Valley
    No trading activity was reported.

    American Pima
    Desert Southwest (DSW)

     

     

     




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