DTN Grain Midday: Markets Move Higher

    ©Debra L Ferguson Stock Images

    Corn futures are 5 to 6 cents higher at midday Friday; soybean futures are 18 to 20 cents higher; wheat futures are 12 to 18 cents higher.


    Corn futures are 5 to 6 cents higher at midday, following soybeans higher and scoring fresh highs again with spread action firming again. Ethanol margins continue to deteriorate as stocks pushed to the highest levels since last May, with short-term demand remaining soft. Trade will continue to look for further sales confirmation on the daily wire, which was quiet for corn Friday.

    Basis should remain rangebound to slightly weaker in the short term with weather likely to slow short-term movement in some areas. Trade will continue watching South American weather as we head into second crop planting and development.

    On the March contract we have support at the 20-day moving average at $6.05 then the fresh high scored Friday morning at 6.35 1/4 as resistance.


    Soybean futures are 18 to 20 cents higher at midday with trade pressing into new highs again with spread action remaining solid as the front months get closer to flat. The daily export wire confirmed some of the rumored export sales with 264,000 metric tons (mt) of new crop to China; 251,500 mt of new crop to unknown; and 141,514 mt of old crop to Mexico.

    Meal is $3.50 to $4.50 higher and oil is 130 to 140 points higher. Basis is flat to weaker short term. Crush margins are hanging in there with the product strength this week, with meal finally trying to consolidate over $400 a ton.

    Early harvest is underway in South America, likely to further crimp U.S. export competitiveness in February with a more mixed forecast again into February. On the March soybean chart, we have resistance at the fresh high at $14.79, with trade well above the 20-day at $13.97 support.


    Wheat futures are 10 to 18 cents higher at midday, following the row crops higher after the midweek washout on better weather and a slowdown in the escalation of Russia/Ukraine tensions. The dollar is near new highs after the Fed statement Wednesday.

    Plains weather looks a little drier in the short term with the crop likely to stay dormant and some areas having better snow cover now. Spring wheat is firmer versus Chicago, moving the premium to $1.32 on the March, with KC at a 16-cent premium in flat action.

    KC March chart support is the 20-day moving average at $7.90, which we are just above; resistance is the Upper Bollinger Band at $8.30, which we are have pulled back from after testing Thursday.


    The U.S. stock market is firmer with the Dow up 80 points. The U.S. Dollar Index is 15 points lower. Interest rate products are mostly higher. Energies are firmer with crude up 1.50. Livestock trade is mixed with cattle leading. Precious metals are weaker with gold down 10.00.

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