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    Crop Progress: Soybeans Looking Bullish, Spring Wheat Bearish

    A research plot of comparable pea and wheat cropping systems at the Arthur H. Post Agronomy Teaching and Research Farm in Bozeman. MSU scientists recently published a study that found that wheat growers who grow both pea and wheat in their fields are likely to lessen the economic risks of farming while maintaining the same level of profits as those who grow only wheat or leave a field fallow. Photo courtesy of Perry Miller
    The pace of corn silking is 7 percentage points behind average and condition ratings fell slightly in the week ended July 12, according to USDA’s latest weekly Crop Progress and Conditions report.

    Corn is 27% silked, compared to 12% last week and a five-year average of 34%. Condition ratings fell to 9% poor to very poor, compared to 8% last week.

    “Sixty-nine percent of the corn crop was rated good to excellent, resulting in a 1-point decrease in DTN’s Corn Condition Index to 164, which is still above the five-year average of 146,” said DTN Analyst Todd Hultman. “Monday’s report was neutral for corn.”

    Soybeans are 38% blooming and 6% setting pods, compared to 21% bloomed last week and averages of 37% bloomed and 7% setting pods. Soybean conditions fell to 11% poor to very poor, compared to 9% last week.

    “Sixty-two percent of soybeans were rated in good-to-excellent condition, resulting in a 5-point decline in the DTN Soybean Condition Index to 149, which is still above the five-year average of 144,” Hultman said. “Monday’s report should be viewed as bullish for soybeans.”

    “Some fields look beautiful and others look pretty sad (wet),” wrote Keith Landis from northern Illinois. “Some corn is beginning to tassel, a few beans are beginning to bloom, the wheat is about ready with reports of vomitoxin in it and it continues to be too wet for much of anything including hay making.”

    Winter wheat harvest is 65% complete compared to 67% last year and a 68% average. Spring wheat is 91% headed compared to 66% last year and a 66% average. Spring wheat conditions improved slightly.

    “Monday’s report should be viewed as neutral for winter wheat with harvest progress close to normal,” Hultman said. “Seventy-one percent of the spring wheat crop was rated good to excellent, resulting in a 3-point increase in DTN’s Spring Wheat Condition Index to 173. The index is even with a year ago, but down slightly from the five-year average of 174. Monday’s report is neutral-to-bearish for spring wheat due to the higher crop rating.”

    Cotton is 61% squaring and 18% setting bolls, compared to 68% and 22% last week and 70% and 24% on average. Cotton condition improved slightly. Rice is 30% headed compared to 23% last year and a 22% average. Rice condition also improved slightly.

    Sorghum is 28% headed and 17% coloring, compared to 24% headed last week and 28% headed and 21% coloring last year. Oats are 10% harvested, compared to a 15% average. Barley is 95% headed compared to 80% last year and a 69% average. Sorghum and oat condition held steady, barley condition decreased slightly.

    National Crop Progress Summary
    This Last Last 5-Yr
    Week Week Year Avg
    Corn Silking 27 12 31 34
    Soybeans Emerged 96 93 100 100
    Soybeans Blooming 38 21 39 37
    Soybeans Setting Pods 6 NA 8 7
    Cotton Squaring 61 48 68 70
    Cotton Setting Bolls 18 10 22 24
    Sorghum Headed 28 24 29 28
    Sorghum Coloring 17 NA 20 21
    Rice Headed 30 25 23 22
    Winter Wheat Harvested 65 55 67 68
    Spring Wheat Headed 91 76 66 66
    Oats Headed 96 92 89 90
    Oats Harvested 10 NA 11 15
    Barley Headed 95 84 80 69
    National Crop Condition Summary
    (VP=Very Poor; P=Poor; F=Fair; G=Good; E=Excellent)
    This Week Last Week Last Year
    VP P F G E VP P F G E VP P F G E
    Corn 2 7 22 54 15 2 6 23 55 14 1 4 19 54 22
    Soybeans 3 8 27 50 12 2 7 28 52 11 1 5 22 56 16
    Cotton 1 7 35 47 10 1 8 34 46 11 4 10 33 41 12
    Barley 1 5 22 54 18 1 5 21 57 16 1 4 31 53 11
    Sorghum 2 4 27 57 10 3 3 27 56 11 1 6 31 51 11
    Oats 4 7 21 56 12 4 7 21 56 12 3 8 25 53 11
    Rice 2 4 23 48 23 2 4 24 47 23 5 25 51 19
    Spring Wheat 1 5 23 56 15 1 5 24 57 13 2 4 24 57 13



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