AgriCharts

Owen Taylor: Midsouth Cotton, 6-11: Agfax Midsouth Cotton: Wind, plant bugs and thrips move into the field. (Read More)

Virginia Cotton, 5-27: Summertime Conditions. (Read More)

Keith Good Farm Policy, 5-27: Food Security; Doha Trade Talks and The Farm Bill; Ag Production Costs. (Read More)

Keith Good Farm Policy, 5-23: Farm Bill Debate Wraps Up (Read More)

Gerloff On Cotton, 5-23: Grain and cotton prices fell; planting progressed (Read More)

Closing Rice, 5-23: Remains in the bottom half of $4 trading range (Read More)

Closing Cotton, 5-23: Market pushed lower fueled by poor export report and planting progress (Read More)

Closing Grain, 5-23: Wheat price vulnerable; corn little change. European Union may remove 10% set aside restriction on farmers. (Read More)

Closing Soybean, 5-23: Closed higher; favorable weather contributed to bean acres moving to corn. (Read More)

Keith Good Farm Policy, 5-22: Finger pointing over Bush's Farm Bill Veto heats up (Read More)

Closing Rice, 5-22: Early highs disappeared into declines (Read More)

Closing Cotton, 5-22: Market continues to seesaws highs and lows (Read More)

Closing Grain, 5-22: Wheat follows drop in crude. (Read More)

Closing Soybean, 5-22: No boost today even with strong export and crush reports. (Read More)

Mississippi: Multi-Year Drought May be Over, 5-22: From dry to soggy weather in a few months. (Read More)

Owen Taylor: Southern Grain, 5-22: AgFax Southern Grain: Too Wet in Southeast Midsouth; Too Dry in Texas (Read More)

Keith Good Farm Policy, 5-22: Finger pointing over Bush's Farm Bill Veto heats up (Read More)

Virginia Cotton, 5-21: Finally, First True Leaf Appears (Read More)

Closing Rice, 5-21: Rice posted solid gains. Market appears to be stabilizing. (Read More)

Closing Cotton, 5-21: Cotton turned a bit higher, but little excitement. (Read More)

Closing Grain, 5-21: Corn flirting with strong support due to high oil price, weak dollar and weather delays. (Read More)

Closing Soybean, 5-21: Soybeans posted sharp gains thanks to $130 per barrel oil, weak dollar. (Read More)

Keith Good Farm Policy, 5-21: "Analysis From Brussels" and "What is the CAP Health Check?" by Roger Waite, editor of AGRA FACTS (Read More)

Owen Taylor: Midsouth Cotton, 5-20: Agfax Midsouth Cotton: Heavy rains threw yet another monkey wrench into planting progress (Read More)

Owen Taylor: Midsouth/Texas Rice, 5-21: Agfax: Midsouth/Texas: We continue to hear about additional acres going into rice, and doublecropped in Texas. (Read More)

Weekly Outlook, 5-19: Hog Prices: Do you believe in miracles? (Read More)

Closing Rice, 5-20: Solid gains posted; market appears to be stabilizing. U.S. plantings likely higher than March intentions. (Read More)

Closing Cotton, 5-20: Supply situation bearish. 10 million bales of ending stocks with planting approaching 9 million acres. (Read More)

Closing Grain, 5-20: Wheat missed magic $8; corn closed in recovery. Record wheat harvest expected. Australia looks at 3rd year drought. (Read More)

Closing Soybean, 5-20: Soybeans mostly higher. USDA reports only 27 percent of the soybean crop in the ground. The 5 year average is 47 percent. (Read More)

Keith Good Farm Policy, 5-20: Farm Bill Cost Still Concern; Food Prices; CAP; Doha; Crop Progress (Read More)

Closing Rice, 5-19: Rice rebounded from early losses to close mixed. Market appears to be stabilizing. (Read More)

Closing Cotton, 5-19: Cotton closed well above day’s lows. Overall supply situation is bearish. (Read More)

Closing Grain, 5-19: Wheat futures sharply lower. Dry conditions reported in Australia where farmers trying to recover from two crop failure years in row. (Read More)

Mississippi: Guinea Pig Bandwagon 5-19: Dulaney brothers bump up bottom line with experiment and innovation on 4th generation farm (Read More)

Specialists Speaking, 5-19: Louisiana - Fungicide; Mississippi - Variety; Texas - Tankmix; California - Seedlings; Arkansas - Flood and Disease; Missouri - Irrigation (Read More)

Gerloff On Cotton, 5-17: If anything, prices are higher than one might expect (Read More)

Virginia Cotton, 5-19: Cotton planting is ongoing, and time to spray the fields that are up. (Read More)

Keith Good Farm Policy, 5-19: "Analysis From Washington"- By Dan Morgan- Farm Bill Review. (Read More)

Owen Taylor: Weekly AgUpdates, 5-19: Agfax AgUdates: This week's compilation of Extension bulletins and newsletters from http://agfax.com (Read More)

Owen Taylor: California Cotton, 5-19: Agfax San Joaquin Valley Cotton: A few worm treatments went out while a huge crop of almonds could make for a lot of mites this year. (Read More)

Owen Taylor: Southeast Cotton, 5-19: Agfax Southeast Cotton: Adequate moisture expected and moderate temperatures should help keep the ball rolling. (Read More)

Owen Taylor: PeanutFax, 5-19: Agfax Peanut Report: Southeast growers caught moisture in late April and started planting at a fast pace. (Read More)

Closing Rice, 5-16: Rice got a strong bounce, but market gave back a portion and closed near the bottom. (Read More)

Closing Cotton, 5-16: Cotton was energized today (Read More)

Closing Grain, 5-16: Wheat futures higher following soybeans, but the trend is still down. (Read More)

Closing Soybean, 5-16: Soybeans ended with good gains; corn closed lower. (Read More)

Texas: Weekly Rice Progress Report, 5-16: High prices affect the planted acreage totals. (Read More)

Tennessee: Economics of Late Planting, 5-16: B. Goodman looks at the numbers involved in making a replant decision. (Read More)

Tennessee: Soybean Replant Decisions, 5-16: Two Field Methods guide replant decisions (Read More)

Keith Good Farm Policy, 5-16: Farm Bill 81-15, Food Prices (Read More)

Extension provides ‘ballpark’ haying expenses figures: Number crunching tells the story of increased fuel prices. (Read More)

North Carolina:: Wheat head scab alert (Read More)

Mississippi Farmweek On the Air: Farmweek, a half hour weekly series, has been on the air for 31 years. (Read More)

Closing Rice, 5-15: Lower today; USDA put ’08 U.S. production at just 197 million cwt; virtually unchanged from 07. (Read More)

Closing Cotton, 5-15: Cotton ended unchanged. Weekly export sales within trade expectations but too low to meet USDA’s annual estimates. (Read More)

Closing Soybean, 5-15: Soybeans ended lower. But futures are well above USDA’s average price projection (Read More)

Closing Grain, 5-15: A move up in wheat futures is more than likely just a corrective bounce. (Read More)

Owen Taylor: Southern Grain, 5-15: AgFax Southern Grain: Midsouth sees too much rain; Southeast too little. Stinkbugs are showing up. (Read More)

Keith Good Farm Policy, 5-15: House 318-106, House Passes Farm Bill Conference Agreement (Read More)

Closing Rice, 5-14: Rice gapped lower today but still remains strong. (Read More)

Closing Cotton, 5-14: Cotton was lower again today as overall fundamentals remain negative. (Read More)

Closing Grain, 5-14: Wheat future lower across the board. (Read More)

Closing Soybean, 5-14: Today’s high close could bring resistance. (Read More)

Texas Agriculture Production Sets Record, 5-14: Higher crop and livestock prices topped out ag production at $21.8 billion (Read More)

Texas Crop and Weather, 5-14: Drought in one area while rain pours down on another (Read More)

Owen Taylor: Midsouth Cotton, 5-14: Agfax Midsouth Cotton: Tornadoes, more rain and river levee seepage continue to delay planting. (Read More)

Owen Taylor: Midsouth/Texas Rice, 5-14: Agfax: Midsouth/Texas: Tornadoes, too much rain and is water seeding an option to get rice planted? (Read More)

Keith Good Farm Policy, 5-14: Farm Bill Conference Report Vote (Read More)

The Trickiest Call: Cotton Farming, May 2008 (Read More)

Closing Rice, 5-13: Rice followed corn and wheat lower The overall fundamental picture remains tight. (Read More)

Closing Cotton, 5-13: Cotton hanging low. Last week’s supply demand report limits upside potential, even with smaller crop. (Read More)

Closing Soybean, 5-13: Today’s higher close could bring resistance. (Read More)

Closing Grain, 5-13: Wheat future lower across the board. (Read More)

Keith Good Farm Policy, 5-13: Farm Bill; Crop Progress/Production; Doha (Read More)

Texas sweet onion harvest soured, 5-13: Big harvest on top of too much old crop still in storage (Read More)

Closing Rice, 5-12: Values improved later in the day. Little room for crop problems with World production estimates at 432 million metric tones. (Read More)

Closing Cotton, 5-12: Heavy carryover stocks pressure price. But projected 6 million bale drop in world stocks in 08-09 is light in the tunnel. (Read More)

Closing Grain, 5-12: Wheat stocks are low this year, but expectation of current bumper crop is keeping lid on the market. (Read More)

Closing Soybean, 5-12: Soybeans stalled below April 15 high of $13.15 ½ .Slow corn planting puts pressure on soybean seed. (Read More)

Keith Good Farm Policy, 5-12: Farm Bill Focus; WASDE Analysis; Food Prices (Read More)

Owen Taylor: Weekly AgUpdates, 5-12: Agfax AgUdates: This week's compilation of Extension bulletins and newsletters from http://agfax.com (Read More)

Owen Taylor: California Cotton, 5-12: Agfax San Joaquin Valley Cotton: Pests are showing up but not yet treatable. Temperature still delaying factor. (Read More)

Owen Taylor: Southern Grain, 5-12: AgFax Southern Grain: Corn planting delays pushed soybean planting, but seed supplies tight. (Read More)

Keith Good Farm Policy, 5-11: A bullish commodity market moves food prices up, and may have dire consequences for import-dependent nations. (Read More)

Mississippi: Cotton holds promise, just on fewer acres: Higher prices promise good profits for 2008. (Read More)

Gerloff On Cotton, 5-12: After latest USDA report, exports remain the key. (Read More)

National Weekly Cotton Summary, 5-9: Planting well under way but severe weather kept things interesting in the South. (Read More)

USDA: Tennessee Has Largest Wheat Crop since 1982: Tennessee farmers seeded 620,000 acres last fall, up 47 percent from the previous year. But hay stocks are short. (Read More)

Rice: FDA Approves Heart, Cancer Health Claim for Brown Rice, 5-8: Consumers will be able to easily identify brown rice as a food to increase whole grain consumption. (Read More)

Owen Taylor: Midsouth Cotton, 5-7: AgFax Midsouth Cotton: How much is the crop running behind? We hear 2 weeks or more in some locations. (Read More)

Owen Taylor: Midsouth/Texas Rice, 5-7: Agfax: Midsouth/Texas: There’s no telling how much rice would have been planted this spring if everyone had gotten about half as many showers as they did. (Read More)

Keith Good Farm Policy, 5-8: Agreement on Farm Bill- Details Expected Today; Biofuels Hearing (Senate); Doha (Read More)

Virginia Cotton 5-5: Favorable Weather Forecast. (Read More)

Owen Taylor: Weekly AgUpdates, 5-5: Agfax AgUdates: This week's compilation of Extension bulletins and newsletters from http://agfax.com (Read More)

Owen Taylor: California Cotton, 5-5: Agfax San Joaquin Valley Cotton: Cooler conditions in April slowed plant development in much of the San Joaquin Valley. (Read More)

Owen Taylor: Southern Grain, 5-5: AgFax Southern Grain: Georgia and Louisiana early wheat ready for mid-May harvest. Corn up and growing in most locations. Soybean planters wide open where weather allows. (Read More)

Owen Taylor: Midsouth/Texas Rice, 4-30: Ricefax Report: Midsouth growers scramble to plant rice and other crops, especially in Arkansas and the upper Delta where thunderstorms delayed field work and seeding. (Read More)

Arkansas late-planted corn: Coping in a year when you're behind schedule. (Read More)

Plants Text Message Farmers When Thirsty: SmartCrop system based on USDA research in Texas. (Read More)

Virginia cotton planting looks favorable: Seeds will go into warm, moist soils - mostly in May. (Read More)

Arkansas farmers should brace for flood of insects: High water and planting delays complicate pest prospects for 2008. (Read More)

Cotton Commentary

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Owen Taylor, Editor

Owen Taylor, Editor (888-327-6329)

OVERVIEW - May 19, 2008

Planting has started in a big way

In parts of the Southeast, growers caught moisture in late April and started planting. After last year’s spring drought, who could blame them?

Mixed moisture

The lower Southeast has been in a dry spell going back to early April. Some rain moved through those areas late in the week. Otherwise, much of our eastern coverage area has either too much moisture or just about enough.

Texas progress

Peanut producers were nearly finished planting in the Rolling Plains of Texas, according to this week’s Texas A&M Crop And Weather Report. There was no update on other production areas in the state.

Soybean, Corn?

A reminder: We also publish a free Southern Grain report covering soybeans, corn, grain sorghum and wheat. Subscribe here.

 

CROP REPORTS

Howard Small Jr., Ind. Consultant, Colquitt, Ga.

“Our first peanuts went in the ground on April 21, and about half of ours are planted now (Thursday). One grower with 2,600 acres has finished. We’re planting in dry dirt and clods. This part of Georgia missed significant rain for all of April and this far into May. All the rain pretty much went north of us. All we’ve gotten have been a tenth to three tenths here and there. The wind blew up to 40 mph on Sunday. It was more like March than May. All we got out of that front was a bunch of damaged cotton.

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"We’re 5 inches behind on rainfall for the year. Fortunately, we can irrigate, but we need 2 to 3 inches of rain immediately, and some more following it. Our local monitoring well is just above 40 feet now, which is significantly low for this time of the year.”

Al Wood, Extension Agent, Pasquotank County, N.C.

“Some runner-type peanuts were being planted today (Wednesday). We’ve had rain pretty much for the last 2 months, and we needed it. But the delays have kept us from staying on anything like a normal planting schedule with our crops.”

Mike Howell, Extension Area Agronomist, Gulfport, Miss.

“Statewide, we’re probably pushing 50% planted. We actually had to stop some planters in south Mississippi because it had gotten so dry. We needed this rain today (Thursday). It appears to be a good rain on the south end of the state, and planters will start running again on Saturday. On the north end of the state, people are getting peanuts planted pretty good. They didn’t start until about the first full week of May, which is probably good because of the cool weather. We put in some plots on April 25, and it took 2 weeks for them to emerge. North Mississippi is getting more rain. The Delta has had too much. It’s a mess. One farmer in the south end of the Delta has been scratching around just to get enough corn land to make his bookings, and he still has land under water.

“How our acreage finally settles out remains to be seen. Plantings in northeast Mississippi will increase, but I’m not finding enough expansion to support some of the numbers USDA has in its forecast. At one point, they predicted 36,000, then scaled it back to 26,000 or 27,000. I’m thinking more like 22,000 to 23,000. Last year, we had 18,000.”

John Beasley, Georgia Extension Agronomist, Tifton, Ga.

“Where we have moisture, everyone has been planting full bore. We’re right at the opening of the low-risk window for tomato spotted wilt virus (TSWV), so people are pushing as hard as they can. Everybody is hoping for moisture. We have a 70% chance for rain tonight (Thursday) and tomorrow, and that will be critical in terms of how much planting continues next week. If a good rain comes, people will be going wide open. Our dryland fields are very dry. Maybe not as critically dry as last year, but close. We had enough moisture earlier that some peanuts were planted ahead of the TSWV window. Some areas did receive rain last weekend. Well over an inch fell on a line from roughly Americus to Cordele to Rochelle, and those guys are planting now.

“We’re getting questions about new varieties – mainly, where can I find seed? There’s always a limited inventory of new varieties, and supplies ran out earlier. Anyone who delayed ordering will probably have to wait until next year.

“March planting intentions put us at 650,000. Based on questions about seed, I think we will plant close to that. If it stays dry another 2 to 3 weeks, though, some dryland peanut acres might go into something else, like late soybeans.”

Jay Chapin, Extension Specialist-Peanuts, Blackville, S.C.

“Everyone is planting peanuts like crazy. We’ve got good moisture, and equipment is rolling. Some peanuts are up, but most have a ways to go yet. Acreage will be up a little.”

Edward Kane, Ind. Crop Consultant, Robertsdale, Ala.

“It’s raining right now (Friday morning) on top of a half-inch to 8 tenths we got yesterday. The forecast says we could get 2 to 4 inches today in this area south of Interstate 10. The system is feeding off the gulf. We’re well into peanut planting now. I would suspect we’re in the 40% range, maybe more. When some of the first farmers started planting peanuts we didn’t have ideal moisture, but these are bigger growers and needed to start. It rained after planting got underway, and that helped. But at the end of April it turned cool, and some farmers held off to wait for warmer conditions.”

Kris Balkcom, Research Assistant, Wiregrass Research and Extension Center, Headland, Ala.

“We got a tenth of an inch of rain yesterday (Thursday), which made it 3 weeks in a row when this area got a tenth or less late in the week. However, we got another 4 tenths today, so we’re at least better off than we have been. It will help, but we need more. This southeast corner of Alabama has missed rains that other areas got. Auburn received 2 inches this week. I planted a test in Selma early this week, and they picked up 1.2 inches with 2 rains over the weekend.

“That rain today probably saved a lot of stands. Some growers had stopped planting because they didn’t have moisture, and I’m not sure this is enough to get them going again unless they already had land prepared. An inch would be better. How much this last rain hangs around will depend on how much the wind blows and how hot it gets.

“Overall, we’re 40% to 50% planted. Some growers started in late April because we had moisture, even though it was cold. Those peanuts have come up to a stand, but it’s been a slow emergence. It’s yet to be determined what kind of virus levels we’ll have. We’ve already seen a lot of thrips on cotton and some other things this year.”

“Overall, we’re 40% to 50% planted. Some growers started in late April because we had moisture, even though it was cold. Those peanuts have come up to a stand, but it’s been a slow emergence. It’s yet to be determined what kind of virus levels we’ll have. We’ve already seen a lot of thrips on cotton and some other things this year.”

ALSO AT AGFAX.COM

Peanut Prices, 5-16, from USDA.

 

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Owen Taylor, Editor. owen@agfax.com

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