Cotton News Feed

Cotton Feed

Doane: Cotton slipped lower Tuesday, 8-19
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Market seems to only want to look at nearby scenarios (Read More)

Closing Cotton, 8-19
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U.S. Upland Farm Price Forecast Highest Since 1996-97 (Read More)

Opening Cotton, 8-19
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Modest Losses Amid Ongoing Economic Worries (Read More)

Keith Good's Farm Policy News, 8-19
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Senate Ag Committee Field Hearing, Farm Bill and Doha (Read More)

Jurgens Bauer's Cotton Commentary, 8-19
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Still Time for Crop to Move Either Way (Read More)

Virginia Cotton, 8-18
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Cotton on Cruise Control (Read More)

Ag Report (E-Central La.), 8-17
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Heavy rains in places; open bolls in 90% of cotton; cotton yield estimates. (Read More)

Gerloff On Cotton, 8-15
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Still a chance for a rally at harvest (Read More)

North Carolina Pest News, 8-15
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Late season cotton insect control; late season fungicide plus pyrethroid insecticide combination spray on soybeans questionable; cotton leaf spots. (Read More)

Georgia Cotton Marketing News, 8-15
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New Crop Prices On The Ropes. (Read More)

Mississippi Crop Situation, 8-15
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Corn market turn-around; pretty firm soybean market going forward; below threshold levels of stink bugs; target spots in soybeans; nearing the finish line in cotton insect management. (Read More)

Texas: Focus on South Plains Agriculture, 8-15
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Beet armyworms increasing; lygus pressure; aphids; cotton insects; mites still threaten late corn; sorghum midge. (Read More)

Georgia Worth County Weekly Crop Report, 8-15
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Delayed corn harvest; foliar burn on peanuts; grain sorghum being eaten up by armyworms and corn earworms; stink bug numbers in cotton dropping. (Read More)

Tennessee IPM Newsletter, 8-15
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Small boll cavitation; pollination problems in corn; ground sprayers and soybean yield; stink bugs primary problem in later cotton. (Read More)

Georgia Cotton Pest Management Newsletter, 8-14
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Stink bug numbers remain variable; FAW infestations have been sporadic; TBW numbers continue to be moderate to high. (Read More)

South Carolina: Cotton Insect Newsletter, 8-14
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Residual Efficacy of Insecticides on Stink Bugs in Cotton (Read More)

Texas Crop and Weather Report, 8-13
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Corn crop suffers from extreme dry weather. (Read More)

Georgia Cotton, 8-11
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Cotton and Peanut Research Tour; Southeast REC 2008 Field Day; terminating insecticide applications; leaf spots found. (Read More)

Gerloff On Cotton, 8-8
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Did the market make a bottom? (Read More)

Nunn Cotton Letter, 8-10
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As market proved last week, volatility still with us. (Read More)

Arkansas Cotton Newsletter, 8-8
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Earlier fields reached cutout a couple of weeks ago; Worst losses seen for commodity hedge funds in 35 years. (Read More)

On The Farm (SW Alabama), 8-7
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First soybean rust detected; wheat and oat recommended varieties; another good year for white mold and a tough year for peanut growers; cotton insects; grain weevils in corn; midge in grain sorghum. (Read More)

Virginia corn earworm survey shows slightly lower numbers than in 2007
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Survey provides indicator of pressure in soybeans, cotton later. (Read More)

Rural Swing?
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Progressive Farmer poll indicates that 17% of rural Americans poised to switch parties this fall. (Read More)

Louisiana Cotton, 8-2
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End-Of-Season Plant Monitoring - Why assessing maturity is so important this year; extensive plant mapping guide; weed presence in crop following last herbicide application. (Read More)

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August 19, 2008

Traders often suggest to follow the beans....well which way and how?These markets are crazy and so I'm not in any rush to judgement.

Cotton initially recovered half its loss from Friday, (grains went limit bid) then gave it back. W Texas received beneficial rains and the US crop therefore looks to be accurately moving toward projected goals. However, there is still time for the crop to move either way. I like the long side. Why? The world crop is small and the surplus of US cotton will be moving in the export market at current values. I believe that sets up for stronger prices.  

Technically, Dec is in a downtrend and 65 cents is a very real possibility. I suggest taking advanatge of the weakness and looking to sell puts underneath and buyiwide call spreads for a long term trade..

 

CTZ 6737

                                                      

©2008 Jurgens Bauer & Associates all rights reserved.
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DISCLAIMER: Any information and opinions contained herein comes from sources believed to be reliable, but certainly not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any statement, nor with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained.  All views are the opinions of the author at the time of writing and are subject to change without notice.  No statement should be construed as an offer to buy or sell a commodity. This publication is for information purposes only: Any and all trading ideas suggested are hypothetical in nature and also subject to change without notice. Commodity futures' trading is speculative by nature and investors can lose more than 100% of their account equity. DISCLAIMER
©2008 Jurgens Bauer & Associates all rights reserved

 


DISCLAIMER: Any information and opinions contained herein comes from sources believed to be reliable, but certainly not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any statement, nor with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained.  All views are the opinions of the author at the time of writing and are subject to change without notice.  No statement should be construed as an offer to buy or sell a commodity. This publication is for information purposes only: Any and all trading ideas suggested are hypothetical in nature and also subject to change without notice.  Commodity futures trading is speculative by nature and investors can lose more than 100% of their account equity.
DISCLAIMER ©2008 Jurgens Bauer & Associates all rights reserved